2024 Dynasty Fantasy Football: Senior Bowl Preview

We’re less than a week away from the Senior Bowl kicking off, and there are always relevant rookie prospects to be seen. Those prospects can positively and negatively affect their draft stock at this event, and this year is no different.

I’ve listed five rookie prospects who are currently expected for significant draft capital in the upcoming draft that will be in attendance at the Senior Bowl. Keeping an eye on how they perform, can help determine how relevant they’re going to be this May in dynasty rookie drafts.

Dynasty Senior Bowl Prospects

Michael Penix Jr., QB, Washington

Of all the skill position seniors attending the senior bowl, Michael Penix Jr. holds the highest expected draft capital with GrindingTheMocks.com, having a 12.2 EDP, good for the 11th highest in the 2024 NFL Draft. Penix completed a very solid season in what was his sixth season of college football, posting 9.2 adjusted yards per attempt and a 6.5 passing percent touchdown rate.

Unfortunately, as a prospect, sixth-year-senior quarterbacks don’t typically fare well, as Brandon Weeden is the only first-round quarterback to play in at least their sixth year of college football. That doesn’t mean Penix isn’t a first-round quarterback, but the floor is a bit worrisome without rushing production on his side.

Bo Nix, QB, Oregon

Bo Nix is one of the bigger mysteries of the 2024 NFL NFL Draft, which creates a wider range of outcomes for him. He was a quarterback who averaged 6.3 rush points per game during his collegiate career, with an 18.4 percent carry percentage and 0.72 yards per team rush attempt.

If that level of rusher at the quarterback position gets first-round draft capital, it immediately makes him much more intriguing. Since 2006, 57.1 percent of Konami quarterbacks drafted in the first round have posted at least a 20-point per game season, regardless of their passing profile. It might not be “likely” for Nix to be a first-round quarterback, but it’s not out of the question.

Xavier Legette, WR, South Carolina

Xavier Legette was awesome for South Carolina this past season, posting 19.8 fantasy points per game on the back of a 23.3 percent target share and 3.05 yards per team pass attempt. But this level of production was something that essentially came out of nowhere. Legette hadn’t even posted 5.0 points per game prior to this past season, which was his fifth year in college football.

That likely doesn’t bode well in terms of being a safe prospect. But with solid draft capital attached, that doesn’t mean there isn’t upside, something Legette is expected to have. Since 2006, of all late declares to get drafted in the first two rounds at the wide receiver position, 28.6 percent have posted at least a 16.0 point per game season, while 21.4 percent have posted at least an 18.0 point per game season.

Ladd McConkey, WR, Georgia

Ladd McConkey has been a very productive player when he’s been on the field, having never posted a yards per route run below 2.00 in any year of his collegiate career. He even posted 3.26 yards per route run in his most recent season at Georgia.

Unfortunately, we only got to see McConkey in a full-time role for just one season, his junior season, but it resulted in a career-high 13.4 points per game and a career-high 16.6 percent target share. While he still isn’t a highly regarded prospect in this upcoming class, if the NFL likes him enough to invest significant draft capital into him, which seems likely at this point, there is plenty of upside with his profile.